A target could again have been placed at the level where the rising wedge started from with a stop loss below the final lower low.Īlways make sure that your potential reward is larger than the risk you are taking on and if your stop loss ends up being too far away, then consider placing your stop below a previous swing long that was formed on the way up before the resistance line was broken. That being said, there was additional confirmation that this falling wedge was about to end when the MACD-Histogram started picking up momentum divergence between the lower lows at the support line.Īlso note how momentum increased dramatically once price broke above the resistance line, which signaled an end to the pattern. This is a great example where conservative traders would not have had an opportunity to enter if they waited for a retest of the breakout level. My final chart shows the same falling wedge in Gold that led to a trend continuation when it ended. This occurrence does not necessarily always happen but is another confirmation signal to look out for since the MACD-Histogram also showed a wedge-like formation. Note that the example above also shows a decline in the MACD-Histogram’s peaks before the patter ends. Once this pattern ends there will usually be an increase in momentum once price breaks above the resistance line. Traders Tip: When you are following a falling wedge in real-time, it can be a good idea to watch for momentum divergence on a MACD-Histogram between the lower lows, and use it as an additional confirmation method that a falling wedge might be nearing an end. The ideal place to set a target will be at the upper level where the falling wedge started from, with a stop loss a few pips below the final low before the breakout occurred. Just keep in mind though, that a retest of the breakout level might not always happen and result in a trader missing an entry. Conservative traders, on the other hand, will generally wait for price to retest the upper resistance line from above before they will execute a long trade. However, it is advisable to monitor other technical analysis indicators and market news that could influence price action.Practice This Strategy How to Trade the Falling Wedge Patternīecause the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern, aggressive traders will typically wait for price to break above the upper resistance line before they will execute a long position. Exit Strategy: Traders usually exit the position once the price reaches the predetermined target.This involves setting appropriate position sizes and using other technical analysis indicators to validate the pattern, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Risk Management: It is critical to manage risk effectively when trading the rising wedge pattern.Some traders use fibonacci retracement levels as additional targets to fine tune their exit strategy. Price Target: The price target is usually determined by measuring the height of the pattern at its widest point and subtracting that value from the breakout level. This minimizes potential losses in case the pattern fails and the price reverses into an uptrend. Stop Loss: A stop loss is generally set just above the last high within the pattern.The breakout point below the lower trendline serves as the entry point. Entry Point: Once the pattern is confirmed, traders often enter a short position.A declining volume during the formation of the wedge can serve as additional confirmation. This typically comes in the form of a price breakout below the lower trendline. Confirmation: Before entering a trade, the trader or investor will wait for confirmation.The pattern usually forms during an uptrend. A trader or investor would look for converging, upward sloping trendlines with higher highs and higher lows. Identification: The first step is to identify the rising wedge pattern on the chart.
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